Elaborate tables, daily updated, purport to
show the progress of the
Covid-19 pandemic around the world. They have
always been confusing, and
by March 2020 it was already apparent that they
did not give an accurate
picture of the problems being faced. They depend
on diagnoses; diagnosis
has never been an exact science, and from the
beginning it has been plain
that the majority of serious cases of the disease
are associated with
other potentially lethal conditions. It seems
that in those countries so
badly affected that mortality from Covid-19 could
be expected to show up in
overall counts of deaths, there was generally
significant underestimation
of its effects, at least to begin with.
In the UK, the Office of National
Statistics has for some years been providing
numbers of deaths registered each week, in two
tables, one divided by sex and
age of the deceased, and one divided by region.
It is therefore possible to
compare the 2020-2023 figures with those of previous
years. Below I give the
2023 figures so far available, together with the ratios
of these to the averages over 2015-2019. See
covid19.2020.htm,
covid19.2021.htm and
covid19.2022.htm
for the corresponding tables for 2020, 2021 and 2022.
For comparison with other countries see the last reference below.
Deaths in England and Wales in 2023, divided by week of registration, sex and age
compared with averages in 2015-2019 and coronavirus deaths declared for UK
Week ending
6.1 20.1 Total to date
Numbers of deaths in 2021, and ratios of these to average over the five years 2015-2019
(ratios left blank if difference not significant)
Males
<1 27 32 29 88 <1
/av
1-14 6 14 13 33 1-14
/av
15-44 161 217 256 634 15-44
/av 1.2 1.2 1.18
45-64 879 1028 1041 2948 45-64
/av 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.21
65-74 1169 1562 1352 4083 65-74
/av 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.15
75-84 2255 2645 2472 7372 75-84
/av 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.29
85+ 2588 2953 2621 8162 85+
/av 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.30
Females
<1 17 23 21 61 <1
/av
1-14 8 10 8 26 1-14
/av
15-44 121 148 148 417 15-44
/av 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.35
45-64 639 770 682 2091 45-64
/av 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.23
65-74 956 1047 1011 3014 65-74
/av 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.14
75-84 2180 2449 2143 6772 75-84
/av 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.27
85+ 3977 4483 4007 12467 85+
/av 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.18
Regions (North East, North West, Yorkshire & Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East, London, South East, South West, Wales)
NE 788 947 837 2572 NE
/av 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.24
NW 2177 2330 2224 6731 NW
/av 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.27
Y & H 1555 1771 1557 4883 Y & H
/av 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.24
E Mid 1346 1399 1368 4113 E Mid
/av 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.23
W Mid 1529 1811 1719 5059 W Mid
/av 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.23
East 1564 1839 1690 5093 East
/av 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.19
London 1324 1491 1324 4139 London
/av 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.14
SE 2120 2696 2394 7210 SE
/av 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.17
SW 1573 1874 1685 5132 SW
/av 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.23
Wales 979 1183 974 3136 Wales
/av 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.28
Total
149831738115804 48168
/av 1.23 1.26 1.20 1.23
Excess of English and Welsh deaths
2785 3560 2592
Covid-19-associated deaths declared
739 922 781
References:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales
https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/blob/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series/time_series_covid19_deaths_global.csv
See also
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/articles/comparisonsofallcausemortalitybetweeneuropeancountriesandregions/januarytojune2020
https://www.conass.org.br/indicadores-de-obitos-por-causas-naturais/
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker
https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covidhttps://elifesciences.org/articles/69336
https://github.com/akarlinsky/world_mortality
Back to home page.
31.1.23